A funny thing happened on the way to the forum. Where once we had a paucity of presidential candidates, we now have a superfluity of them. You would think that from this panoply of contenders who’ve thrown their hat in the ring, we’d be spoilt for choice. On closer inspection however, it transpires that perhaps ‘plethora’ simply means ‘extreme excess’. With that being said, if you asked me to wager a bet or stake my life on it – and one can only hope it doesn’t come to that – I’d say it’s a four-way race between a tetrad of major players.

All but one of them were willing to face the electorate at a recent public platform. The odd man out turned out to be odder than ever when he finally faced his critics, turning to his brother as to his keeper to field the odd googly about wartime lapses and other inconvenient truths. While the former event was hardly a debate, it showcased a step in the right direction whereby Sri Lankans aspiring to public office go through the motions of being accountable. There is a consummation still devoutly to be wished as far as the latter event goes, because it doesn’t go nearly far enough to convince the sceptics that media conferences by former strongmen-bureaucrats are not a farce.

The Democratic conundrum

For ever so long, in fact for far too long for a party preaching democracy but practising oligarchy, it seemed like tradition/custom/convention (call it what you like – even chicanery) would win, and Ranil would take the field again. Failing that, the UNP would engineer an ‘independent’ ‘national’ candidate in the shape and form of the democracy-defending Speaker of the House, with a wider appeal and as broad a chance as his party leader hadn’t. The machinations of the palace coup – it was a Machiavellian one at that – put paid to all that. This prince among his people now comes with a not-so-poor blend of his father’s populism and his own savvy or sophistication.

The Demagogue contestation

With that said, ostensibly the least sophisticated mainstream political party is proving it has more savvy than some of its major opponents. AKD’s suave admission of his movement’s violent origins – when asked essentially the same question as GR as regards his party’s past misdemeanours – is testament to that individual’s integrity as much as his political intelligence. Contrite hearts and championing causes unpopular with social conservatives is likely to see the JVP candidate cull between 500,000 to a potential million votes from both blue and green camps. It reflects a principled protest on the part of former fans of ‘Yahapaalanaya’ as much as a pragmatic harbinger of the shape of the post-General Election electorate. Maybe the only thing standing in AKD’s way is Colombo and the urban voters’ flirtatious volte-faces when it comes to going the full Monty with a formerly Marxist outfit?

The Disciplinarian confusion

I can’t, in the meantime, help feel some concern at the mixed messages that a budding dynastic regime-in-the-waiting is sending out like a thousand lotus flowers over the land of the lost. On the one hand, they vow stringently to bring to book the despicable culprits who commissioned and carried out the dastardly Easter Sunday attacks. On the other, as far as wars they fought and axes they once had to grind are concerned, they’d have us all forgive and forget!